Ukuthunyelwa Okusuka EShayina Kuya EMexico: Izihibe Eziseduze Nogu Lolwandle Ziyavalwa Ngo-2026
Eminyakeni emine edlule, ukuhambisa izimpahla ezenziwe eShayina eMexico kube ngenye yezindlela ezicacile zabangenisi ukuze banciphise ukushaqeka kwentela yase-US. Isitsha sasisuka eShenzhen noma eNingbo, sifike eManzanillo noma eLazaro Cardenas, sibhalwe kabusha noma sicutshungulwe kancane endaweni yaseMexico, bese sigingqika siye enyakatho siwele umngcele ngebheji le-USMCA. Lelo bheji lalibiza okuthile. Ngo-2026 lalibiza kancane kakhulu futhi livala igebe ngokushesha.
Ukwenyuka kwentela yaseMexico emazweni angewona awe-FTA, ukuqiniswa kwe-ajenda yemithetho yokuqala lapho kubuyekezwa ngokubambisana kwe-USMCA kanye nokuphela kokukhishwa kwe-de minimis konke kuye kwahlela ukunciphisa umzila owajatshulelwa abathengisi bemfashini esheshayo, abahlanganisi be-elekthronikhi kanye nabangenisi bezimpahla ezijwayelekile. Leli phepha lichaza ukuthi yini eshintshile ngempela, ukuthi yini esasebenza nokuthi abathumeli bangayilungisa kanjani kabusha indlela yabo yokuthutha impahla esuka eChina iye eMexico ngaphambi kokuba kuqiniswe izinto ngo-2026.
Kungani iMexico Yaba Indawo Yangemuva Eyintandokazi YaseShayina
Isu lalisekelwe ekucabangeni okulula. Izimpahla ezifanelekayo ngaphansi kwe-USMCA zingangena e-US zivela eMexico ngaphandle kwentela, kodwa izinto ezithunyelwe ngqo zivela eShayina zingaphansi kwentela yeSigaba 301, inkokhelo eyengeziwe yomhlaba wonke yeSigaba 122 futhi ezigabeni eziningi, izindleko eziqondene nezwe. Uma inkampani yaseShayina ingathola izingxenye noma izimpahla ezicishe ziqedwe esitolo sokugcina eMexico, yenze isigaba sokugcina sokuhlanganiswa, futhi inikeze isitifiketi semvelaphi, impahla yokugcina ingalethwa emakethe yase-US ngengxenye encane yezindleko zokufika zokuhweba okuqondile phakathi kweShayina ne-US.
Lokhu kwakungeyona icebo elincane. Abenzi bezimoto zikagesi baseShayina, amagama emishini, abenzi befenisha, futhi okubaluleke kakhulu, abathengisi be-e-commerce bakhe izintambo zokuhlinzeka ezizungeze izindawo zokuthutha impahla zaseMexico. Eduze kwaseTijuana, eMonterrey naseBajio, amapaki ezimboni ayenamabhizinisi, ephepheni, ayekhiqiza kodwa empeleni ngezinye izikhathi ayengaba ngaphezu kokupakisha kabusha noma ukuqeda okuncane kwezimpahla ezivela eShayina.
Izikhulu zaseMexico azizange zihluleke ukukubona lokhu. Lapho uhulumeni kaMengameli uClaudia Sheinbaum ethatha isinyathelo ngoDisemba 2025 sokunyusa intela yokungenisa impahla engazange ihambisane nezivumelwano zokuhweba ngokukhululekile, ingcindezi yezepolitiki yokuthi kuthathwe isinyathelo yavela ezinhlangothini ezimbili ngesikhathi esisodwa: IWashington yayifuna ubufakazi bokuthi iMexico yayingahlanzi izimpahla zaseShayina ziye endaweni ye-USMCA, kanti abakhiqizi baseMexico babefuna ukuvikelwa enqwabeni yezinto zase-Asia ezishibhile ezazinciphisa umkhiqizo wasekhaya.
Impendulo yeShayina ngokwayo ingeze olunye ungqimba lokucindezeleka kwezepolitiki endabeni yezohwebo engeyona eyobuchwepheshe. NgoJanuwari 2026, uMnyango Wezohwebo waseShayina waqala uphenyo ngesinqumo sentela yaseMexico ngezithiyo zokuhweba nokutshalwa kwezimali. USheinbaum uphikise esidlangalaleni ukuthi lesi sinyathelo silinganiswa kuwo wonke amazwe angewona ama-FTA ngokulinganayo kunokuba akhethe iShayina, kodwa intela isasebenza kungakhathaliseki ukuthi lokho kushintshana kwezombusazwe kusebenza kanjani futhi abathumeli abahlela imizila yalo lonke u-2026 baphatha isheduli yamanje yamanani njengesisekelo sokusebenza.
Ukuhlelwa kabusha kwentela ka-2026: Yini Eyashintsha Ngempela
Ngomhlaka-29 Disemba 2025, iMexico yashicilela isinqumo ku-Diario Oficial de la Federacion esanda intela yokungenisa impahla emigqeni yentela engu-1,463 ehlanganisa izingxenye zezimoto, izindwangu, insimbi, i-aluminium, ipulasitiki, izinto zikagesi, ifenisha, izicathulo, ingilazi, namathoyizi, ngamanani asukela kumaphesenti ama-5 kuya kwangu-50. Lesi sinyathelo saqala ukusebenza ngoJanuwari 1, 2026, futhi sisebenza ngqo emazweni angenasivumelwano sokuhweba ngokukhululekile neMexico, okusho ukuthi empeleni iShayina ngaphezu kwakho konke, kanye neNdiya, iNingizimu Korea, iThailand, iTurkey, kanye nezinye ezimbalwa.
Ubukhulu bohlu kufanele bume kancane. Lokhu akulona isiteleka esincane ngokumelene nemboni eyodwa; kuthinta cishe zonke izinhlobo zomkhiqizo ukuthi umthengisi we-inthanethi ojwayelekile noma umthengisi wezimpahla eziningi angawudlulisela kumlamuleli waseMexico. Izikhulu zibeke lesi sinqumo njengesivikelo semisebenzi yaseMexico engaba ngu-350,000 emikhakheni ebucayi, futhi njengendlela yokuthola imali engenayo okulindeleke ukuthi ingenise cishe amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-3.76 ngo-2026.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, i-United States igcine ingcindezi yayo ezimpahleni ezingafaneleki ze-USMCA ezihamba eMexico. Inkokhelo yomhlaba wonke yeSigaba 122 njengamanje ingama-10% ezimpahleni ezihluleka ukuhlangabezana nemithetho yemvelaphi ye-USMCA, izinga elihlelelwe ukushona kwelanga cishe ngoJulayi 24, 2026 ngaphandle kokuthi iCongress ilulwe. Izindleko zeSigaba 232 ensimbini nase-aluminium zihlala zingama-50% kungakhathaliseki isimo se-USMCA, kanti intela yeSigaba 301 kokuqukethwe okuvela eChina iyaqhubeka nokusebenza ngaphezu kwanoma yiliphi izinga lesisekelo umkhiqizo onalo.
| Isendlalelo Sezindleko | Kusebenza Ku | Isilinganiso Esilinganiselwe (2026) |
| Intela yokungenisa eMexico engeyona i-FTA | Izimpahla ezivela eShayina zingena eMexico | I-5% - 50% |
| Isigaba 301 (sase-US) | Okuqukethwe okuvela eShayina ezimpahleni eziya e-US | I-7.5% - 100% |
| Inkokhelo eyengeziwe yesigaba 122 (e-US) | Izimpahla ezingafaneleki i-USMCA, ukushona kwelanga ~Julayi 24, 2026 | 10% |
| Isigaba 232 (sase-US) | Insimbi ne-aluminium, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ivelaphi | 50% |
| Izinga elihlanganisiwe lendwangu (i-US, imvelaphi yaseShayina) | Isisekelo se-MFN + Isigaba 301 + Isigaba 122 | ~35% - 44% |
Uma zizonke, lezi zingxenye zisho ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwempahla okwadlula umngcele ngaphambilini cishe ngaphandle kwentela ngokuthi kuvela eMexico manje kungabhekana nentela yokungenisa yaseMexico lapho kungena kanye nokuhlolwa kwe-US lapho kuphuma, kusele isikhala esincane sokwahlulela okwenza lo mzila wakhanga kwasekuqaleni.
Kufanele futhi kuphawulwe ukuthi isinqumo saseMexico asivulelekile. Ukwenyuka kwentela kusebenza kuze kube nguDisemba 31, 2026 njengoba kubhaliwe, yize izikhulu zishiye umnyango uvulekile wokukwandisa lokhu, kuye ngokuthi ukubuyekezwa kwe-USMCA kuphetha kanjani nokuthi ukukhiqiza kwasekhaya kusabela kanjani. Abangenisi abacabanga ukuthi ithebula lamanje lamanani lizoba elihlala njalo bangagcina bewakha ngokweqile noma bewanciphise amalungiselelo abo okuthobela imithetho. Indlela engokoqobo ukubona u-2026 njengonyaka wokuguquka, okungenani kube nomjikelezo owodwa wokulungisa olindelekile ngaphambi kokuba isimo sixazululeke.
Isibuyekezo se-USMCA siyindaba enkulu
Nakuba imithetho yentela ingavulwa futhi ivalwe ngokufaka isandla esiphansi, ukubuyekezwa okuhlangene kwe-USMCA okwethula usongo oluyisisekelo emhubheni we-China-Mexico-US. Izingxoxo zobuchwepheshe zaqala ngoMashi 2026 futhi kulindeleke ukuthi kube neseshini esemthethweni cishe ngoJulayi 1. Ukubuyekezwa kulindeleke ukuthi kuphinde kubumbe isivumelwano seminyaka eminingana ezayo.
Abahlaziyi bezohwebo abalandela izingxoxo balindele izinguquko ezintathu ikakhulukazi: ukwanda kwemingcele yokuqukethwe kwenani lesifunda, ikakhulukazi kwezezimoto kanye ne-elekthronikhi; amalungiselelo amasha okulwa nokudluliselwa kwempahla aqondiswe ngqo emisebenzini engenzi lutho olungaphezu kokucubungula okokufaka kwaseShayina; kanye nemikhawulo ezinhlanganweni zokukhiqiza ezixhumene neShayina ezisebenza ngaphakathi eMexico, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi zithi zinezela inani elingakanani lendawo.
Lesi yisigaba esibaluleke kakhulu ezinkampanini ezisungula ubukhona baseMexico ukuze zisebenzise izintandokazi ze-USMCA. Ukwenyuka kwentela = izindleko eziphakeme. Ushintsho emithethweni yemvelaphi lungenza umkhiqizo ungafaneleki ngokuphelele, luguqule lokho okwakubonakala sengathi uchungechunge lokuphakelwa oluhambisana neNyakatho Melika lube ukuthunyelwa okuhlelwe kabusha, kuhlolwe kabusha futhi mhlawumbe kuhlolwe intela emuva.
Isibonelo esicacile sivela kubakhiqizi be-EV baseShayina kanye nabakhiqizi bamabhethri. Abaningana babo bebeklama noma bakha izikhungo zokuhlanganisa zaseMexico ikakhulukazi njengendlela yokungena emakethe yase-US ngaphansi kwe-USMCA. Abahlaziyi baqhubeka nokuchaza lowo mzila njengovalayo kunokuba umane uqine, phakathi kwentela entsha yaseMexico ezintweni ezifakwayo zaseShayina kanye nolimi olumelene nokudluliselwa kwempahla olulindelwe kusukela ekubuyekezweni.
I-De Minimis yayiyiNgxenye Eyesibili ye-Loophole
I-arbitrage yentela ngokusebenzisa umhlangano waseMexico yayiyingxenye nje yendaba. Ingxenye yesibili kwakuwukukhululwa kwe-US de minimis, okwavumela noma yiliphi iphakheji elingaphansi kwamaRandi angu-800 aseMelika ukuthi lingene ngaphandle kwentela kungakhathaliseki ukuthi livelaphi. Amapulatifomu akha amamodeli aphelele okugcwaliseka azungeze lona, eletha inani elikhulu lempahla ethengiswayo enenani eliphansi ngqo evela eShayina, futhi kwezinye izimo ayibeka ezindaweni zokugcina impahla zaseMexico noma kwamanye amazwe ukuze afihle imvelaphi yayo.
Lokho kukhululwa sekuphelile. I-US yayeka ukwelashwa kwe-de minimis kokungeniswa okuvela eShayina maphakathi no-2025, kanti ukukhululwa okubanzi kwawo wonke amazwe kwamiswa kusukela ngomhlaka-25 kuNhlolanja 2026. Konke ukuthunyelwa, kungakhathalekile usayizi noma inani elibikiwe, manje kudinga ukungena okusemthethweni noma okungakahleleki okunezintela ezibaliwe nezikhokhelwayo. IMexico yenze ngendlela efanayo ezweni, ibeka intela yamaphesenti angu-19 ezintweni ezingeniswe ngamapulatifomu e-e-commerce kanye namabhizinisi ezithunywa ezivela emazweni angewona ama-FTA, umthetho oqondiswe ngqo kumapulatifomu emfashini esheshayo aseShayina.
Umphumela ohlangene ekuthunyelweni kwezimpahla ezincane, ezithunyelwa ngqo kumthengi ube mkhulu kakhulu. Amabhizinisi ayebheka iMexico njengendawo elula yokuthumela impahla eshibhile manje athola ukuthi iMexico noma i-US azinikezi nkululeko eyenze imodeli yaphumelela.
Umphumela wokugoqa usukhule ngale kwamapulatifomu amakhulu emfashini esheshayo. Izinkampani ezincane eziqonde ngqo kubathengi ezazithembele ekuthumeleni amayunithi angawodwa avela kubathengisi baseShayina, ngezinye izikhathi zihamba ibanga elifushane esikhungweni sokugcwalisa saseMexico ukuze zinciphise izinsuku ezimbalwa zokulethwa, manje sezibala kabusha ezomnotho zamayunithi kusukela ekuqaleni. Kwabaningi babo, izibalo ezazisebenza kuma-oda angu-200 noma angu-300 ngosuku azisebenzi uma ukulethwa ngakunye kunezintela ezisemthethweni, izimali zomthengisi, kanye nomthwalo wamaphepha ohambisana nokungena okugcwele kwentela.
Okusasebenza: Ukusondela Okusemthethweni, Kwenziwe Kahle
Akukho kulokhu okusho ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwezimpahla eMexico kuyeke ukuba nomqondo. Kusho ukuthi inguqulo eyaphumelela, ukucubungula okuncane okugqokwe njengokukhiqiza, iyasuswa, kuyilapho ukusondela kwangempela kukhula. IMexico iqede u-2025 inemali yokutshalwa kwezimali yangaphandle eyizigidigidi ezingama-40.87, ekhuphuke ngaphezu kwamaphesenti ayi-11 unyaka nonyaka, kanti izikhala zezimboni zingaphansi kwamaphesenti ama-4 ezikhungweni ezifaka phakathi iMonterrey neGuadalajara. Lokho akulona iphrofayili yezwe lapho ukwethembana kwabatshalizimali kuncipha khona. Leyo indawo lapho umdlalo olula uphela khona futhi umdlalo onzima uqala khona.
Umehluko mkhulu kakhulu. Abalawuli kanye nabahloli bama-customs baqhubeka bedlula amaphepha futhi bebuza ukuthi inani ladalwa kuphi ngempela. Umkhiqizo ofika eMexico njengezinto zokusetshenziswa noma izingxenye, ubhekana noshintsho olukhulu, umthelela obalulekile wabasebenzi, kanye noshintsho lwangempela ekuhlukanisweni kwentela, bese uhambela enyakatho ngebhili lezinto ezihlanzekile unendlela esemthethweni eya esimweni sokufaneleka se-USMCA. Umkhiqizo ongena cishe usuqediwe futhi ushiye ilebula elisha awuwenzi, futhi imithetho yokulwa nokudluliselwa kwempahla evela ekubuyekezweni kukaJulayi ihloselwe ukuthola lelo phethini ngqo.
Abeluleki bezohwebo abasebenza nemikhiqizo yokukhangisa kanye nabangenisi bezingubo bachaza isincomo esifanayo ngokuphindaphindiwe: ukwakha okuqukethwe okwengeziwe nokuhlanganisa ngaphakathi eMexico, ukubhala phansi uhlu lwezinto kanye nemvelaphi ngendlela ehlanzekile, kanye nokushintshashintsha ukutholakala kwezimpahla ukuze uhlelo luqhubeke uma imigqa yentela ikhula noma ukuqiniswa komthetho kuqina kakhulu. Izinkampani ezibheka ukuthobela imithetho njengento okufanele yenziwe ngemuva kokubuyekezwa lapho ukubuyekezwa kufika khona yizo ezivezwa kakhulu.
Imikhakha Lapho Icala Lokusondela Eduze Lisaqhubeka Khona
Ukukhiqizwa kwangempela kwaseMexico kufaneleka kakhulu ekuhlanganisweni kwezimoto, izindiza, amadivayisi ezokwelapha, kanye ne-elekthronikhi, ikakhulukazi ngoba izindleko zabasebenzi baseMexico zigcina izindleko eziphelele zingaphansi kokukhiqiza kwase-US ngisho nangaphansi kwezimo zentela ezinamandla, futhi ngoba lezi zimboni sezivele zinezingqalasizinda zokusabalalisa kanye nezokuthutha ukusekela ushintsho lwangempela kunokucubungula okudlule. Izinzuzo ezinkulu kakhulu zoshintsho lwangempela ekusebenzeni ziza ezintweni ezidinga abasebenzi abaningi ngesisekelo samakhasimende aseNyakatho Melika kanye nezinto ezitholakalayo ezingatholakala ngokufanele esifundeni se-USMCA.
Lokhu Kusho Ukuthi Kusho Ukuthini Kubathengisi Bezentengiselwano Ze-E-commerce Ezinqamula Imingcele
Awekho amabhizinisi amaningi angavula isitshalo eMonterrey, futhi abathengisi abaningi be-e-commerce abawela imingcele abakaze bazame. Impendulo yalelo qembu akuyona inhlangano yaseMexico ngo-2026, kodwa ukuhlukaniswa okuhlanzekile kwemizila yokuthumela - umzila oqondile osuka eShayina uye e-US wezimpahla ezizokhokha intela efanele, kanye nomzila waseMexico ogcinelwe imikhiqizo lapho umhlinzeki angasekela khona izidingo zomsebenzi kanye nokuguqulwa. Ukuhlanganisa lokhu kokubili kanye nokulindela ukuthi ukulungiswa okuncane esitolo sokugcina impahla saseMexico kuzosabhekwa njengokufanelekile kwemvelaphi yikona kanye ukugembula okuzoba nzima ukukuwina ngo-2026.
kubekwa khona Isu nalo libalulekile. Labo bathengisi abasebenzise isikhungo saseMexico njengendlela yokuxazulula inkinga yentela baqhubeka nokushintsha leso sikhungo njengesikhungo sokusabalalisa sesifunda sangempela, esinempahla esivele ikhokhile intela, ukuze ukulethwa kwemayela lokugcina e-US kuhlale kushesha kungakhathaliseki ukuthi isimangalo sokuqala sishintshile yini. Kuseyisikhungo esibalulekile, kodwa isizathu sokusisebenzisa sihlukile.
Indlela Ukuthunyelwa Kwe-Topway Okusiza Ngayo Abathumeli Ukuzivumelanisa Nezimo
Kudinga okungaphezu kokufunda amashejuli entela ukuze kudlule kulolu shintsho. Kudinga umlingani wezokuthutha oqonda zombili izinhlangothi zomzila futhi ongakha kabusha uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka ngezinto ezifanela ngempela, hhayi lokho okwakusebenza. I-Topway Shipping ibilokhu isebenza kule makethe kusukela ngo-2010, futhi itholakala eShenzhen nethimba labasunguli elinolwazi lweminyaka engaphezu kwengu-15 kwezokuthutha zamazwe ngamazwe kanye nokususwa kwezimpahla zamasiko, elinobubanzi obukhethekile kwezokuthutha phakathi kwe-China ne-US.
Lokhu okuhlangenwe nakho kuhunyushwa kube ukwesekwa okusebenzayo kwabathumeli abahlela isu lokusuka eShayina liye eMexico ngo-2026, kusukela ekuthuthweni kokuqala okuvela ezimbonini zaseShayina, kuya ekugcinweni kwezimpahla kwamanye amazwe lapho kutholwa khona impahla, kuya ekukhishweni kwempahla ephethwe amaqembu aqondayo ukuthi iziphathimandla zaseMexico nase-US zichaza kanjani imithetho yokusuka namuhla, kuya ekulethweni kwempahla okuhamba ibanga elide uma izimpahla seziphumile emngceleni. I-Topway Shipping inikeza izinsizakalo zokuthutha olwandle eziguquguqukayo ezithwala umthwalo ogcwele kanye nemithwalo engaphansi kwesitsha kusukela eShayina kuya emachwebeni abalulekile emhlabeni jikelele, okunikeza abathumeli amandla okuthwala imithwalo ngobukhulu obufanele ngenkathi belinganisa umthamo phakathi kweziteshi eziqondile zaseShayina nase-US kanye nemizila ehamba ngeMexico.
Lapha inani elisebenzayo liwukuzikhethela. Inkampani enomuzwa wokuthi imodeli yayo yokudluliselwa kwempahla yaseMexico ekhona ngeke isinde ekubuyekezweni kukaJulayi akudingeki ukuthi iqhamuke nohlelo oluhlukile ngokwayo. Ukusebenza nomthengisi ovele ekhipha impahla kanye nezindawo zokugcina impahla ezinhlangothini zombili zePacific kanye nezinhlangothi zombili zomngcele we-US-Mexico kwenza kube lula kakhulu ukwenza imodeli yemizila ehlukene, ukuqonda izindleko zokufika ngaphansi kwezingqimba ezintsha zentela bese ukhetha isakhiwo esisasebenza lapho imithetho ishintsha hhayi esibanjwa yiso.
Ukwakha Uhlelo Lokuthumela Lokuthobela Imithetho Kuqala
Uma sikhuluma nabangenisi abahlela kabusha imizila yabo kulo nyaka, kunezinto ezimbalwa ezisebenzayo eziqhubekayo. Okokuqala thola ibhili yezinto zokwakha ngaphambi kokuba ukuthunyelwa kuhambe; hhayi ngemuva kwezicelo zokuhlolwa kwentela. Imibhalo yokuqala ehlanganiswe emuva ayivamile ukuba namandla, kodwa imibhalo efakwe enkambisweni yokukhiqiza kusukela ekuqaleni inikeza inkampani isimo esivikelekile kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ukubuyekezwa kukaJulayi kusetshenziswa ngokuqinile kangakanani ekugcineni.
Okwesibili, ingxenye yaseMexico yohambo iwukukhiqiza kwangempela, hhayi indawo yokubona. Uma isitshalo eMexico senza ukulebula kabusha noma senza ukuqeda ubuhle kuphela kumkhiqizo ocishe uphelele ovela eShayina, yileyo kanye iphethini imithetho yokulwa nokudluliselwa kwempahla ehloselwe ukuyibamba. Izakhiwo eziguqulwa kakhulu, ezibandakanya ukuhlanganiswa kwangempela, ezinokuqukethwe okukhulu kwabasebenzi, futhi ezibandakanya ushintsho lwangempela ekuhlukanisweni kwentela zisezingeni eliqinile kakhulu.
Okwesithathu, hlakaza ingozi endaweni yokuyifaka yonke emzileni owodwa. Abanye abangenisi sebevele bahlukanisa ibhizinisi phakathi kokuthunyelwa okuqondile phakathi kweShayina ne-US, ukusondela kwangempela kwaseMexico kwezimpahla ezingaguqulwa kakhulu lapho, kanye nezinye izindawo zokuthola izimpahla ezivela eShayina kanye nenye ezingakwazi. Ukuba nomlingani wezokuthutha ongakwazi ukucaphuna nokuphatha imizila engaphezu kweyodwa ngesikhathi kwenza lolo hlobo lokwehlukahlukana lube buhlungu kakhulu ekusebenzeni njengokuhlanganisa abathumeli ngabanye emzileni ngamunye.
Okokugcina kodwa okungabalulekile, qapha ikhalenda. Ukushona kwelanga kwe-Section 122 kwentela eyengeziwe cishe ngoJulayi 24, 2026, izikhathi zokubuyekezwa ezisemthethweni ze-USMCA ngoJulayi kanye nomthetho wentela waseMexico, manje osebenza kuze kube sekupheleni kuka-2026, konke kuyizingxenye ezihambayo ezingase zishintshe ukubalwa kwezindleko zokufika futhi ngaphambi kokuba unyaka uphele. Isu lokuthumela elibhalwe ngezimo ngoJuni 2026 lingadinga ukuguqulwa okukhulu ngo-Okthoba.
Kuyasiza futhi ukusebenzisa izibalo ngaphansi kwezimo ezingaphezu kwesisodwa ngaphambi kokuzibophezela kusu. Imodeli yezindleko ezibekwe endaweni esekelwe kuphela kumanani amanje ingabukeka kahle kuze kube yilapho iseshini yokubuyekeza icindezela izinga lemithetho yemvelaphi futhi umthwalo obewuhambisana nekota edlule awuhambisani nekota. Sithole ukuthi ukwengeza isivikelo kokubili emananini kanye nokuguquguquka komhlinzeki kungenye yamasu athembeke kakhulu okugwema ukubanjwa yisinqumo esithathwe eWashington noma eMexico City ngaphandle kwesixwayiso esincane kakhulu kusengaphambili.
Isiphetho
Umzila osuka eShayina uye eMexico usavuliwe kodwa inguqulo yalowo mzila oncike ekucutshungulweni kokukhanya kanye nesitembu serabha se-USMCA iphelelwa yindlela. Ukwenyuka kwentela yaseMexico ezintweni ezingewona ama-FTA ezingeniswayo, ukuqiniswa kwemithetho yokuqala ngaphansi kokubuyekezwa okuhlangene kwe-USMCA kanye nokuqedwa kokwelashwa kwe-de minimis kuzo zombili izinhlangothi zomngcele cishe kuqede i-arbitrage elula eyayenze ukudluliselwa kwempahla kube nenzuzo. Okusele umgwaqo oqinile nonzima: izinto zokukhiqiza zangempela, amadokhumenti ahlanzekile, kanye nochungechunge lokuhlinzeka olwakhiwe ukuze lubhekane nokuhlolwa, hhayi ukugwema.
Kwabangenisi abafuna ukwenza lokho, iMexico isengenye yezindawo ezinhle kakhulu zokuthutha emhlabeni maqondana nemakethe yase-US futhi izilinganiso zokutshalwa kwezimali eziyisisekelo ziyakusekela lokho. Lawo mabhizinisi awina engxenyeni yesibili ka-2026 azoba yiwo athathe izinguquko kulo nyaka njengophawu lokuthuthukisa amandla angempela okufinyelela eduze, asekelwa ngumlingani wezokuthutha njengeTopway Shipping ongaphatha lonke uchungechunge kusukela phansi efektri yaseShayina kuya emnyango wase-US, kunalabo abasathemba ukuthi igebe elidala lizohlala isikhathi eside.
Imibuzo Evame Ukubuzwa
Q: Ingabe ukuthunyelwa kusuka eShayina kuya eMexico kusafaneleka ngo-2026?
A: Yebo, ngemikhiqizo eyenziwe noma ehlanganiswe eMexico. Imizila elahlekelwa yinzuzo yayo yileyo esebenzisa ukucubungula okuncane ukuze ifune imvelaphi ye-USMCA ngaphandle koshintsho olukhulu.
Q: Iyini inkokhelo eyengeziwe yeSigaba 122 futhi iphela nini?
A: Kuyintela eyisisekelo yaseMelika engu-10% ezimpahleni ezingafaneleki ukwelashwa ngaphansi kwe-USMCA. Manje kulindeleke ukuthi ishone cishe ngoJulayi 24, 2026, ngaphandle kokuthi iCongress ilulwe.
Q: Ingabe intela entsha yaseMexico iyasebenza ezimpahleni ezivela e-United States noma eCanada?
A: Cha. Isinqumo sangoDisemba 2025 sizosebenza kuphela emazweni angenaso isivumelwano sokuhweba esikhululekile neMexico, ngakho-ke ukuhweba phakathi kwe-US, iMexico neCanada ngaphansi kwe-USMCA ngeke kuthinteke.
U: Ibhizinisi lingabona kanjani ukuthi ukusebenza kwalo eMexico kuzodlula yini ekuhlolweni kwemithetho eqinile yokuvela?
A: Ukuhlolwa okuyinhloko ushintsho olukhulu. Uma umkhiqizo ushintsha ukuhlukaniswa kwentela futhi uthola okuqukethwe okukhulu kwabasebenzi bendawo nezinto ezibonakalayo eMexico, unebhokisi eliqinile. Uma uqediwe kakhulu futhi uthola ilebula elisha, usengozini enkulu.
Q: I-Topway Shipping ingasiza kanjani kulolu shintsho?
A: I-Topway Shipping inikeza ezokuthutha zokuqala, izindawo zokugcina impahla zaphesheya kwezilwandle, ukususwa kwezimpahla zangaphandle kanye nokulethwa kwempahla okuhamba ibanga lokugcina, kanye nempahla yolwandle i-FCL kanye ne-LCL esuka eShayina iye emachwebeni abalulekile emhlabeni jikelele, okuvumela abathumeli ukuthi babonise futhi bavumelanise umzila njengoba imithetho yentela kanye ne-USMCA ishintsha.
