Izinga lempahla likhuphuka ngokungalindelekile: 31.9% ngesonto elilodwa.
Umbiko wakamuva kakhulu we-Shanghai Shipping Exchange, kusukela ngo-Okthoba 17, ubonise ukuthi izindleko zokuthutha izimpahla zisuka echwebeni lase-Shanghai ziya emachwebeni amakhulu ase-US West Coast zikhuphuke ngo-31.9% kusukela ngesonto eledlule, zafinyelela ku-$1,936 i-FEU ngayinye. Izindleko zokuya e-US East Coast nazo zenyuka ngo-16.4%, okulethe ingqikithi yaba ngu-$2,853 i-FEU ngayinye.
Lesi “sivunguvungu sezinga lempahla” sagadla kakhulu kangangokuthi sabamba amabhizinisi amaningi angaphandle ngokuzumayo.
Ukusabela okuthathu kweketango elikhulu: “Ukungalingani” emakethe
1️⃣ Ithikithi Elilodwa Okunzima Ukulithola: Izihlalo Azanele, Ukubhukha Kukhuphuka Kathathu
Ukubhukha ngokweqile emizileni kuyasabalala, futhi imikhumbi evela kweminye imizila “ijikela kulayini wase-US.” Abanye abathumeli bempahla bathi, “Asiwadingi amakhasimende engeziwe; sidinga izitsha ezingenalutho.”
2️⃣ Amashejuli okuhamba ngomkhumbi anesiphithiphithi: ukukhanselwa okuningi neziqukathi ziyalahlwa
Izinkampani zenethiwekhi zivame ukukhansela uhambo ukuze zigcine ukunikezwa kuphansi nezintengo ziphezulu. Ngisho nokubhukha okuqinisekisiwe kungase kuthinteke ngokudelelwa kohambo lwamaphakathi nohambo noma izicelo zenkokhelo eyengeziwe.
3️⃣ Izindleko Ezidla Inzuzo: Amabhizinisi Amancane Awakwazi Ukuphefumula
Izinto ezinenani eliphansi, ivolumu ephezulu njengezindwangu, imikhiqizo yasendlini, namabhokisi eswabhu kakotini yiwona athinteka kakhulu. Uma izindleko zempahla zingaphezu kwenani lempahla, izilinganiso zenzuzo ziyancishiswa.
Izinto Ezintathu Ezenze Intengo Yenyuka
(1) Ukunciphisa Umthamo: Olayini Bokuthumela Ngokusebenzayo “Qinisa Ukuthepha”
Olayini bokuthumela bahlehlise uhambo oluya e-US izikhathi eziningi kusukela ngoSepthemba, baze baphula nerekhodi lokumiswa kwenkonzo yanyanga zonke. Manje kukhona "inkathi yokuvala umthamo" ngenxa yakho kokubili ukunqwabelana kwangaphambi kweholide kanye nesikhala esincane sempahla.
(2) Imali Eyengeziwe Emachwebeni Ekhuphuka Isibhakabhaka
Izinkokhelo eziningi ezengeziwe emizileni ephakathi kwe-China ne-US (kaphethiloli, isizini ephezulu, izindleko zechweba, njll.) zikhuphukile ngesikhathi esifanayo. Isibonelo, inkokhelo yohambo olulodwa yomkhumbi owodwa ingafinyelela amakhulu ezinkulungwane zamaRandi.
(3) Ukugqagqana Kwesizini Ephakeme: Ukujaha izimpahla zikaKhisimusi noLwesihlanu Olumnyama kuqala kusenesikhathi.
Ukuze ulungele ukuthengiswa kwesizini ephezulu, izitolo zaseNyakatho Melika zafaka ama-oda kusasele izinyanga. “Intengo ayiyona into; isivinini sibalulekile” kwaba indinganiso. Lo mkhuba ube namandla kakhulu ngoba bebengenaso isiqiniseko ngama-tariffs ngoNovemba.
Isu Lempendulo Yomthengi: Izindlela Ezine Eziyinhloko Zokusimamisa Isimo
✅ 1. Vikela Isikhala Kusenesikhathi Futhi Usayine Izinkontileka Zesikhathi Eside
Sayina ama-LTA (Izivumelwano Zesikhathi Eside) nemigqa yokuthumela emikhulu noma abathumeli bempahla besikhathi eside ukuze bakhiyele esikhaleni kanye nezilinganiso zezinyanga ezi-3 kuye kweziyi-6. Lokhu kuzokugcina ungavezi lutho uma amanani enyuka.
✅ 2. Ukungena Kwe-US Engaqondile Ngemizila Eguqukayo Eguquguqukayo
Sebenzisa izimbobo zokuthutha e-Canada noma e-Mexico bese ushayela uye e-US, noma usebenzise izindawo zokugcina izimpahla zaphesheya kwezilwandle ukuthumela ukuthunyelwa kusenesikhathi ukuze ugweme inhlawulo eqondile yesizini ephezulu kanye nokuminyana kwamachweba.
✅ 3. Umthwalo Wezindleko Okwabelwana Ngayo: Ukusebenzisana nozakwethu abakhuphuka nomfula nabaphansi ukuze kwehliswe ukuntengantenga
Engeza “Izigaba Zokulungisa Isilinganiso Sempahla” ezinkontilekeni ukuze zombili izinhlangothi zabelane ngoshintsho lwesilinganiso esingu-±10% ukuze zakhe ukuzethemba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.
✅ 4. Ukuqapha ngesikhathi sangempela kanye nesixwayiso sangaphambi kwesikhathi sezingozi
Gcina iso elibukhali ku-Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) kanye nezimemezelo ezinkulu zenkampani yenethiwekhi. Yenza ukuhlolwa kwanyanga zonke kwenani lempahla futhi wenze izinguquko zebhajethi inyanga kusenesikhathi.
Isiphetho: Phendula ngesizathu futhi ulungise izimpahla ngokucophelela.
Izintengo eziphezulu zempahla emizileni yase-US kungenzeka ziphakame kuze kube maphakathi no-November. Ngemuva kukaDisemba, kulindeleke ukuthi isibalo sehle, okungase senze inkululeko yokuthi amanani ehle.
Esikhundleni "sokubheja ngamanani aphansi," into ehlakaniphile ongayenza ukukhiya amanani kusenesikhathi, uvumelane nezimo ngokuthunyelwa, futhi uqinisekise ukuthi amalungiselelo e-inventory ayavunyelaniswa.
Kule-rollercoaster yesilinganiso sempahla, izinkampani eziphumelela ngempela akuzona ezisabela ngokushesha kakhulu; yibo abalunge kakhulu.
Imibuzo Evame Ukubuzwa
Umbuzo: Ngingakwazi yini ukuthunyelwa ngoNovemba uma ngibhukha manje?
Akulula neze. Siphakamisa ukuthi uqale ushayele umthumeli wempahla wakho oyinhloko noma ulayini wokuthumela ukuze ubone ukuthi angakwazi yini ukubhukha ngemizuzu yokugcina ngokwenza umehluko emananini.
Umbuzo: Ingabe amanani wempahla azoqhubeka enyuka?
Cishe kuzoba nokukhuphuka kwesikhashana, ikakhulukazi ngaphambi kwezikhathi ezimatasa zangoLwesihlanu Olumnyama noKhisimusi. Amanani angase ahlale efanayo ngoDisemba.
Umbuzo: Kuyafaneleka yini ukusayina izinkontileka zesikhathi eside manje?
Uma umthamo we-oda lakho uzinzile futhi amakhasimende akho afana, ungase ukhethe ukusayina izivumelwano zokukhiya isilinganiso izinyanga ezi-3 kuya kwezingu-6 ukuze uzivikele ekushintsheni kwentengo.
Umbuzo: Ingabe ikhona eminye imizila yokuthutha?
Cabanga ngokuthumela nge-Vancouver, Canada, amachweba ase-Mexico, noma imizila yezokuthutha yase-Southeast Asia.
Q: Abathengisi abancane nabaphakathi kufanele babhekane kanjani namazinga aphezulu wempahla?
Ukuze udlule emjikelezweni wokukhuphuka kwezinga, khetha ukuthunyelwa okuhlanganisiwe, gcina ohlwini lwamagama kusenesikhathi, shintsha ukuxubana kwemikhiqizo (gxila ezimpahleni ezingasindi), futhi uthuthukise ukuhamba kwemali.
